7. ANALYSIS
7 May 2003

Aidspan has conducted an analysis of all countries that meet any of the following criteria:

  • Poor: Income level is "Low" or "Lower-middle"
  • High prevalence: Adult HIV infection rate is above 1%
  • No grant: Did not yet receive a Global Fund grant for HIV/AIDS

Eighteen countries meet all three criteria. They are listed in the following table.

------------- | ----------  | ------- |  -------------- | --- |   Country     |   Income    |Adult HIV|  Global Fund    |Has a|               | infection   |         |  grant status   | CCM?|               |   rate      |         |  re HIV/AIDS    |     | ------------  | ----------- | --------| --------------- | --- | Angola        |Low          |   5.5%  |Did not apply?   |  No | Belize        |Lower-middle |   2.0%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Cameroon      |Low          |  11.8%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Chad          |Low          |   3.6%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Congo         |Low          |   7.2%  |Did not apply?   |  No | Congo,Dem.Rep.|Low          |   4.9%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Equat. Guinea |Low          |   3.4%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Eritrea       |Low          |   2.8%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Gambia, The   |Low          |   1.6%  |Did not apply?   |  No | Guatemala     |Lower-middle |   1.0%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Guinea-Bissau |Low          |   2.8%  |Did not apply?   |  No | Guyana        |Lower-middle |   2.7%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Jamaica       |Lower-middle |   1.2%  |Did not apply?   |  No | Mali          |Low          |   1.7%  |Did not apply?   | Yes | Sierra Leone  |Low          |   7.0%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Somalia       |Low          |   1.0%  |Did not apply?   | Yes | Sudan         |Low          |   2.6%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | Suriname      |Lower-middle |   1.2%  |Rejected Round 2 | Yes | ------------- | ----------- | ------- | --------------- | --- |

Note: Countries shown as "Did not apply?" did not apply for an HIV/AIDS grant in Round 2, and were not approved for such a grant in Round 1. it's possible that they applied and were rejected in Round 1; such countries have not been identified by the Fund.

Sources: Re Income: www.worldbank.org/data/countryclass/classgroups.htm. Re HIV infection rates: "Report on the Global HIV/AIDS Epidemic 2002," UNAIDS. Other data: www.globalfundatm.org.

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